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Iranian state media has confirmed that the two-week ceasefire with the United States officially ended at 3:30 AM Wednesday, Tehran time (12:00 AM GMT / 8:00 PM Tuesday ET) . The announcement marks the formal expiration of the truce brokered by Pakistan on April 8, which had paused the most intense phase of the US-Israeli war on Iran.
President Donald Trump had previously set a firm deadline for the conclusion of the ceasefire, telling Bloomberg News that he was “highly unlikely” to extend the temporary pause and warning that he expected “an amazing two days ahead” regardless of the outcome .
The expiration of the truce comes amid a complete diplomatic standoff. Tehran has refused to send a delegation to Islamabad for a second round of peace talks, with Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei stating that negotiations cannot proceed until the US lifts its naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The White House has rejected this precondition, insisting that the blockade will remain until a final deal is reached.
Mixed Signals and Miscalculations
The path to the deadline was marked by confusion over the precise timing of the expiration. While Iran and Pakistan calculated the end based on the April 8 start date, Trump had suggested on Monday that the ceasefire would last through Wednesday evening Washington time . The discrepancy contributed to the chaotic final hours of the truce.
As the clock struck midnight GMT, no formal mechanism for an extension was in place. The last-minute diplomatic push led by Pakistan—which had successfully brokered the original pause—failed to bridge the gap between Washington’s demand for immediate capitulation on nuclear issues and Tehran’s insistence on an end to the “economic siege.”
The ‘Shadow War’ Intensifies
With the diplomatic track frozen, the “shadow war” in the region has intensified. The US Navy continues to enforce a strict blockade on Iranian ports, while the Pentagon has warned of “overwhelming force” if the ceasefire collapses. Iran’s military commanders have responded by placing their forces on high alert and threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz entirely, warning that “no port in the region will be safe.”
The expiration of the ceasefire does not automatically trigger a return to the full-scale bombing campaigns of February and March, but it removes the legal and political framework that has contained the conflict for the past two weeks.
What Comes Next
As the deadline passes without a deal, several immediate outcomes are expected:
- Renewed Military Posturing: Both the US Fifth Fleet and Iran’s Revolutionary Guard are expected to resume aggressive patrols in the Gulf.
- Sanctions Enforcement: The US is likely to ramp up seizures of Iranian oil tankers attempting to breach the blockade.
- Proxy Escalation: Iran may activate its network of proxies in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon to target US assets.
- Diplomatic Void: Pakistan’s role as mediator is now uncertain, though Beijing and Moscow have indicated readiness to step in if both sides show willingness.
The collapse of the ceasefire marks the end of the most significant diplomatic effort to end the war since the US-Israeli strikes began on February 28. While the White House has not yet announced an immediate resumption of airstrikes, the expiration of the truce places the region back on the brink of full-scale war.
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