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A deep depression over the Bay of Bengal is set to become Cyclone Arnab, the first cyclone of 2026 in the bay, and cross the Andhra Pradesh coast between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam by the forenoon of October 28 as a very severe cyclonic storm, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
Where Cyclone Arnab Is Now
As of Sunday morning, October 25, the weather system was a deep depression over the east-central and adjoining south-east Bay of Bengal. According to the IMD bulletin issued on October 25, the system lay centred about 470 kilometres north-north-west of Sri Vijaya Puram in the Andaman Islands, around 860 kilometres east-south-east of Visakhapatnam, 950 kilometres east-south-east of Kakinada, and 1,130 kilometres east of Bapatla in Andhra Pradesh.
The system had been moving southwards at a speed of about 5 to 8 kilometres per hour. The IMD said it was very likely to move nearly southwards, intensify into a deep depression, and then gradually recurve west-north-westwards over the Bay of Bengal.
The system began as a low-pressure area over the east-central and adjoining south-east Bay of Bengal on October 23, formed under the influence of an upper-air cyclonic circulation. It developed into a depression on October 24 and strengthened into a deep depression on October 25.
Cyclone Arnab Landfall: What the IMD Forecasts
The IMD expects the system to intensify into a cyclonic storm over the east-central and adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal by the morning of October 26. It is then forecast to strengthen into a severe cyclonic storm over the west-central Bay of Bengal around the morning of October 27, and into a very severe cyclonic storm by the morning of October 28.
According to the IMD, the storm is expected to cross the Andhra Pradesh coast between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam, near the Andhra Pradesh and Yanam coasts, by the forenoon of October 28 as a very severe cyclonic storm. At landfall, the system is forecast to pack maximum sustained winds of 115 to 125 kilometres per hour, with gusts reaching up to 140 kilometres per hour.
IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said the storm was likely to make landfall on the morning of October 28, somewhere between the north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts, adding that the exact location and intensity would depend on the system’s further development.
Rainfall Warnings Across Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and Beyond
The IMD has warned of extremely heavy rainfall over coastal Andhra Pradesh on October 27 and 28, and over Odisha and Telangana on October 28 and Chhattisgarh on October 28 and 29. Heavy to very heavy rainfall is also forecast for parts of West Bengal, Jharkhand and Bihar, while the Andaman Islands are expected to receive heavy to very heavy rainfall through October 27.
The weather agency has issued a cyclone alert, known as an orange message, for Andhra Pradesh and the adjoining south Odisha coasts. Fishermen have been advised not to venture into the sea, and coastal communities have been asked to stay alert as the system approaches.
How States Are Preparing for Cyclone Arnab
Odisha has placed all 30 districts on alert and kept emergency response teams on standby. Disaster Management Minister Suresh Pujari said collectors of 16 coastal and southern districts had been advised to take precautionary measures. The state government has cancelled leave for employees in Ganjam, Gajapati, Puri and Khurda districts, and district collectors have been authorised to decide whether schools and colleges should close depending on local conditions. Five districts in Odisha are under a red alert for the peak rainfall impact expected on October 28, according to local reports.
In Andhra Pradesh, authorities have stepped up precautionary measures along the coast, with the state disaster management authority asking people in vulnerable areas to remain on high alert. The IMD’s cyclone warning centre in Visakhapatnam has been issuing regular updates as the system develops.
How Cyclone Arnab Got Its Name
Once the system intensifies into a cyclonic storm, it will officially be named Cyclone Arnab, a name contributed by Bangladesh to the regional tropical cyclone naming list maintained by the World Meteorological Organization and the IMD. The name Arnab means “ocean” in Bengali.
Cyclone Arnab will be the first cyclone to form in the Bay of Bengal in 2026. A weather system last month triggered a cyclone watch but failed to reach full cyclonic intensity, ultimately crossing the Andhra Pradesh-Odisha coast as a deep depression on September 23 and bringing heavy downpours to the region.
What to Do as Cyclone Arnab Approaches
People living in coastal Andhra Pradesh and southern Odisha should follow official updates from the IMD and their district administrations. Residents in low-lying areas should keep essential documents, medicines and drinking water ready, and be prepared to move to safer places if local authorities advise it. Fishermen should stay ashore until the sea calms, and travellers should check the status of trains, flights and road transport before setting out, as services in the affected regions may be disrupted from October 27 onwards.
The IMD will continue to issue updated bulletins as Cyclone Arnab moves closer to the coast, and the forecast track and intensity may change. Residents are advised to rely on official sources rather than unverified messages circulating on social media.
Sources: India Meteorological Department bulletins; The Hindu; The Indian Express; Republic World; ABP Live; Business Today.
Frequently Asked Questions
When will Cyclone Arnab make landfall?
Cyclone Arnab is expected to cross the Andhra Pradesh coast between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam by the forenoon of October 28, 2026, as a very severe cyclonic storm, according to the IMD.
How strong will Cyclone Arnab be at landfall?
The IMD forecasts maximum sustained winds of 115 to 125 kilometres per hour at landfall, with gusts reaching up to 140 kilometres per hour.
Which areas will get heavy rain from Cyclone Arnab?
Extremely heavy rainfall is forecast for coastal Andhra Pradesh on October 27 and 28, and for Odisha, Telangana and Chhattisgarh on October 28 and 29, with heavy rain also expected in parts of West Bengal, Jharkhand and Bihar.
Why is the storm called Cyclone Arnab?
The name Arnab, meaning “ocean” in Bengali, was contributed by Bangladesh to the regional tropical cyclone naming list maintained by the World Meteorological Organization and the IMD.
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